The management given to the pandemic has become a determining factor in the results of the elections, especially when those who have governed in the midst of the crisis seek re-election.
One example is Trump’s defeat in the United States, largely based on the late reaction and underestimation of the virus. Because of this same attitude, many anticipate the same fate for Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, who will run for his second term in 2022. However, this does not mean that those who have acted more preemptively are assured of their victory.
On September 20, Canada will have elections Advance the feds. They will define the continuity of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who, in the midst of a good popular acceptance for his handling in the face of the crisis, asked to bring the elections forward by two years and, in this way, seek to convert that approval into more liberal seats in Parliament to achieve better governance.
This is the third time Trudeau has made his name available to voters. The first dates back to 2015, when the Liberals won the right to govern with 54% representation in Ottawa. The second, in 2019, was much tighter, and despite losing the popular vote to the Conservatives, his community won more seats than their opponents, so Trudeau remained in power, forming a minority government.
Contrary to what happened with his father, the former prime minister Pierre Trudeau, who, after losing the vast majority in Parliament in 1972, called for new elections in 1974 and succeeded in moving from a minority government to a majority government; the current president could even lose the option to govern.
Despite the fact that half of Canadians believe their government has handled the pandemic well, and only a quarter think it has done so poorly, polls show almost a technical connection between the country’s two most important political forces.
The CBC News measure on Sept. 7 showed that intention to vote for the Conservatives, led by Erin O’Toole, was 33.5%, while that of the Liberals stood at 31.2%. What appears to be punishing the Prime Minister is the call for an election right now, as the pandemic and uncertainty persist.
Nail investigation conducted by Ipsos found that 58% of respondents believe that such elections should not take place. “The government has not been defeated. It was a decision that was made to have an election, and as a result of that, it seems people are not happy, ”said Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos Public Affairs.
To this discontent are added other factors that worsened during the pandemic, such as the high cost of living, and especially in the rise in house prices. According to the Canadian Real Estate Association, home values in Canada have increased 26% in the past year, and in Toronto, the average cost of a home exceeds US $ 1 million.
The Conservatives’ proposal contemplates banning the sale of homes to foreigners who do not have plans to live in the country. “The housing supply is not keeping up with our growing population and there are too many foreign investors sitting on properties,” O’Toole said.
For his part, Trudeau ensures that the real estate supply will increase thanks to the construction and renovation of at least 1.4 million homes. “Anyone who promises to be able to resolve the housing crisis quickly does not understand the crisis or has no real plan to do so,” replied the Prime Minister.
After his victory in 2015, and only 44 years old at the time, Justin Trudeau established himself as a fresh and substitute figure. Internationally, he has established himself as a charismatic leader of the G7 and to be a champion of environmental issues and inclusion. Over the past two years, that number has faded.
The card that is played to seek to increase majorities in parliament could end up signifying its decline, with everything and that today the country displays one of the best indicators of vaccination and management of the pandemic.
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