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Canada will welcome 500,000 new immigrants in 2025

by Ainsley Ingram

Canada has just released its 2023-2025 Immigration Levels Plan.

Canada will aim to welcome 465,000 new immigrants in 2024.

The target will increase to 485,000 new immigrants in 2024.

It will further increase to 500,000 new immigrants in 2025.

Canada broke its all-time immigration record by welcoming more than 405,000 immigrants in 2021 and plans to welcome nearly 432,000 immigrants this year.

The Immigration Levels Plan serves as a guide to the number of immigrants Canada aims to welcome each year. Canada’s immigration goals include growing the economy, reuniting families and granting asylum to refugees fleeing hardship abroad.

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Express Entry and PNP targets will increase

The majority of new permanent residents immigrate through economic class programs such as the Express entry system or via Provincial Nomination Programs (PNP).

Targets for Express Entry landings (principal applicants, spouses and dependents) will increase as follows:

  • 82,880 in 2024
  • 109,020 in 2024
  • 114,000 in 2025

The PNP will remain the primary admission program to Canada for Economic Class immigrants and targets will also increase for:

  • 105,500 in 2024
  • 110,000 in 2024
  • 117,500 in 2025

Higher PGP admissions

IRCC also has a mandate to reunite families. After programs in economy class, family category sponsorship is the second largest category of permanent residence established by the Immigration Levels Plan. Under Family Class immigration programs, applicants are sponsored for permanent residence by a spouse, partner, children or other family member.

Canada will continue to seek to welcome some 80,000 new immigrants per year through the Spouses, Partners and Children program.

The Parents and Grandparents Program targets will increase to 28,500 in 2024, followed by 34,000 in 2024 and 36,000 in 2025.

Refugee and Humanitarian class targets will drop

Refugees and immigrants in the humanitarian category also have an allowance under the Immigration Levels Plan. Canada has a long history of granting asylum to displaced people fleeing dangerous situations in their home countries.

Canada currently has high humanitarian goals due to its continuous efforts to carry out several campaigns such as welcoming some 40,000 refugees from Afghanistan.

The overall refugee category target will be just over 76,000 new landings in 2024 and 2024, before dropping to 72,750 in 2025.

The same goes for the humanitarian class target, which goes from nearly 16,000 in 2024 to 8,000 in 2025.

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Canada’s immigration strategy

Canada’s current immigration strategy began to take its current shape in the 1980s. At that time, the government did not look as far into the future and often based its immigration goals on the economy of the day.

In 1984, Canada welcomed less than 90,000 immigrants. In the early 1990s, the Canadian government under the Conservatives recognized the impending labor shortage and increased immigration targets to 250,000 new permanent residents within eight years.

The next Liberal government built on these goals, but due to an economic recession also began to place more emphasis on inviting newcomers to more economic class immigrants and reducing Canada Family and Humanitarian Class Units.

Canada welcomed some 260,000 immigrants a year until the current Liberal government came to power in 2015. Targets were raised to 300,000, followed by 340,000 just before the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.

Border closures and other travel restrictions in 2020 have made it difficult for IRCC to process applications. Yet Canada exceeded its 2021 immigration target and broke the record for the most permanent residents invited in a year, at 405,000. These targets were met thanks to significant spot allocations by the Canadian Experience Class and Provincial Nominee Programs (PNP).

Canada is currently in a unique period where there is a labor shortage alongside closely a million jobs. Both are driving factors in the country’s growing immigration targets.

Labor shortages are also affected by Canada’s low birth rate of 1.4 children per woman, one of the lowest in the world. Due to slow natural population growth (the number of births always exceeds the number of deaths each year), immigration will soon be the only way to grow Canada’s population and labor force. Newcomers are also needed to maintain a strong tax base, which is a key factor in Canada’s efforts to provide essential services like education and health care.

Canada has one of the oldest populations in the world. About nine million people, almost a quarter of Canada’s population, will reach retirement age by 2030. This will create an urgent shortage of workers in all sectors of the economy.

The government must announce the immigration levels plan each year no later than November 1, in accordance with the Immigration and Refugee Protection Act (IRPA), which is the main immigration law in Canada. However, the 2022-2024 immigration levels plan was the second announced in 2022, the first happened in February after the last federal election on September 20, 2021, delayed the 2021 announcement.

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